Donald Trump Wins 2016 Election
This can be particularly exciting because the results of Electoral College votes in the swing states can be very unpredictable. As the election progresses, the number of betting lines and odds covering specific state results increases to include smaller states.
Check out our State Primary odds page for more information. A candidate can win the popular vote, however loose the election. We saw this when Hillary Clinton beat Obama in the primary for the popular vote, but lost to him when it came down to the Electoral College count. Does it make any sense? What is the difference between the popular vote and the electoral vote? The popular vote determines which candidate received the most individual votes from the public.
While it is a telling statistic, it actually has no bearing on the outcome of the election. The Electoral College was designed in order to make sure the amount of representation a state has in an election is fairly based on the number of people residing there. Each state is assigned a number of electoral votes based on their population. The total number of Electoral College votes is A candidate must reach Electoral College votes in order to win the election. Naturally, the larger states with more residents are assigned a larger number of votes.
Remember, betting on a candidate and voting for them are two separate actions. Instead, you may want to vote for Fiorina but bet on Donald Trump to win the nomination since he is the front-runner on the GOP side of the race.
Who can vote in the Presidential election? While every state has their own set of criteria for being a registered voter, as long as your are a US citizen, 18 years of age or older, have not had your civil rights revoked and have legitimate identification, you will likely be eligible to vote in the election. We recommend you verify the voter registration requirements in your state of residence prior to the election.
If you are interested in betting on the election through a legal online soprtsbook, you will need to be at least 21 years or older. Are there any betting strategies that you recommend? Yes, what I recommend is shopping around for the best odds. Assuming every sports betting site that we recommend here on presidentialelectionodds. Basically it has to do with how much action they have on a particular candidate.
So they are offering higher odds than other sites to encourage people to bet on Bernie. The first thing you want to do is find a reputable online sportsbook that is legally licensed and offers political betting lines. The 2 sites we recommend above are the best in the industry and offer the widest variety of prop bets to players. From there you will have many different types of wagers you can make.
Based on our research, and the help of websites like www. The Lone Star State has historically voted Republican due to low Democratic voter turnout during elections. Former Presidential candidate and Read More. Supreme Court pick Brett Kavanaugh has yet to be confirmed by the Senate as confirmation hearings continue. The next midterms may be reversed. Governorships and even council members are always hot-button items on the betting circuit.
You can find a range of different political lines on which to bet. You can also find prop bets, which will include things like the gender of the winner, the party of the winner, a clean win vs. If it's part of politics, then there's undoubtedly a sportsbook out there with a betting line on it. Though the selection of betting options surrounding the Presidential race will change as the election nears, we thought we would provide some information concerning the types of bets that are most commonly available to you.
You are not limited to solely predicting the overall winner as there are betting lines and odds for a variety of aspects pertaining to the election's progress leading up to the final results, as well as specific prop bets concerning details of the circumstances of the race, such as gender and party results.
Keep in mind that these options are the most common ones offered, but that political betting lines and odds vary from site to site. Odds for winning the Presidential Primary — this type of betting line will allow you to bet on who will win the nominations in the primary for each party.
If you are participating early in the process and are placing a futures bet, your range of options may include individuals who have not yet announced their candidacy but that are active in the political landscape and are considered potential candidates. The closer you get to the actual election, the more accurate your list of options may be. However, keep in mind that the futures bets can pay off big if you guess correctly.
Odds for Winning the US Presidential Election — Obviously, this type of betting line will concern the overall winner of the election.
You will typically have a variety of associated lines, including the following:. Odds for who will win the Presidential Election Odds for which party will win the Presidential Election Odds for which gender the winner of the Presidential Election will be Odds for the gender balance on the Presidential Tickets — this line is sometimes broken down by party affiliation, but not always.
Hillary selected Tim Kaine as her vice president nominee. Odds For Winning a Specific State — This type of betting line predicts the winner of influential swing states. For example, the Iowa Caucus odds start surfacing very early in the race. Other states are added closer to the actual election. Winning the electoral votes in an influential state can make or break the election, hence these betting lines are particularly exciting and can determine the outcome of the election.
The results of swing state Electoral College votes can be unpredictable, as we saw in when Obama took Florida despite the fact that Romney was the favored candidate to win the Sunshine State.
Odds For Winning the Popular Vote — Once the candidates have been selected, you will find more betting types added to the line up, such as betting on who will win the popular vote. Though it has no bearing on the overall election, political aficionados enjoy betting on who will win the popular vote. There are times when the winner of the popular vote is not elected as President. The popular vote can be unpredictable, making it a very exciting wagering option.
This type of option typically does not appear in the lines until about a month or two out from the actual election. Electoral College Count - You will find that your range of wagering options for these lines increases after the candidates are selected and the election is approaching. In this type of political betting line you are predicting whether a candidate will receive more or less Electoral College votes than predicted.
Prop Bets - Some of the sportsbooks now offer some interesting prop bets for the election. At Betonline they offer some matchups that work similar to a quinella in horse racing. One of the most amazing things about President Barack Obama's election in was that no one had really heard of the man in A junior Senator with an iffy record of no-votes and voting "present" on big issues, even those getting to know him didn't think he had the political chops.
However, democracy proved what democracy is, in that experience counts for next to nothing when you're a popular, charismatic figure.
The people spoke, the people voted, and President Obama is almost finished with his second term in office. Who actually saw that coming? Very, very few saw it coming. But for those who did, they may have cleaned up tremendously by betting on Obama. That's right; you can actually place political bets and win money on different political elections.
The beautiful irony here is that it's actually politicians who seek to make gambling illegal across the nation, yet one of the most lucrative lines of betting is to wager on their elections and futures. Some may consider that to be very fitting, given the duplicitous, snake-like nature of many of these political buffoons.
But we're not out to play politics. Both conventions are done and over with, the post-convention bounces have been accounted for and now the candidates enter the final stretch ahead of the November election. August in general has been rough for Trump as his polling numbers have fallen across the board. He now does not lead in a single national poll. FiveThirtyEight is now giving Clinton an The Trump campaign maintains that the situation is not as dire as the polls indicate.
She made the point that the hostile press has made it socially desirable for people not to support Trump and compared his campaign to what happened with the Brexit vote. The polls ended up being spot-on. Whatever the case may be, the betting odds have shifted significantly in favour of Clinton since our last update.
You can see the latest odds below. As I write this update, we have one convention down and one in progress. The Republicans had their convention last week in Cleveland to officially nominate Donald Trump as the Republican candidate for the election. The oddsmakers still favour Hillary Clinton to win, but Donald Trump has cut into her lead a bit in recent polls and that has brought the odds a little bit closer to the even mark.
This election still has a long way to go and a lot could happen between now and November. Nothing is a done deal at this point. The Republican National Convention went pretty smooth and gave Trump a bump in the polls.
In any case, what matters from a betting perspective is Trump is catching up. While things have been running rather well for Trump lately, Team Clinton has had a bit of a rough month. Even before the Republican Convention, she was losing ground to Trump. Then, just days before the convention, a highly publicized batch of DNC e-mails was published on Wikileaks.
The e-mail release was timed perfectly to cause chaos for Clinton just ahead of the convention. Naturally, Sanders supporters were miffed. Many had been complaining for months that Clinton and the DNC were working in cahoots to drag Hillary across the line and make her the Presidential nominee.
The leaks finally gave Bernie supporters proof of their accusations. As I write this post, we are two days in to the Democratic Convention and we have now had two days of sizable protests outside the convention. The election odds have tightened considerably since we first published this post. Hillary Clinton still leads according to most bookmakers even as national polls are beginning to show a slight edge for Trump. I have been reluctant to make any recommendations up to this point, but I think now we may be starting to see some value for backing the underdog.
In this case, that would be Donald Trump. He has been gaining ground on Hillary but is still paying more if you bet on him. Some polls even favour Trump at this point. The value is on the underdog. With the polls not trending well for Clinton, the odds getting tighter and more damaging e-mails likely to come to light any day now, I think now would be a good time to back the underdog.
Bets on Donald Trump are paying less every time I come back to update this post. If you want to bet on Hillary, just wait a little longer.
Bets on her are getting cheaper and cheaper. We should also consider that there may be a Brexit effect in play here. If you remember back to the contentious Brexit vote, the betting odds favoured a stay result even as the polls showed a tight race and eventually even a slight edge for the leave side. Clinton leads Trump Hillary is winning in this one, but the trend is not good for Team Clinton.
Those are very close numbers that do not align with the betting odds. Note that this page is updated regularly so you might see different numbers when you visit the New York Times polling page. Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump are now the presumed nominees after a long and contentious primary battle in each party.
The funny thing is these two people have the lowest likability ratings of any Presidential candidate in recent history. The e-mail scandal and potential FBI indictment for violating security protocols as Secretary of State continues to dog Hillary Clinton.
A combination of trust issues and lackluster speechmaking have made it tough for her to gain the type of support that ushered Obama and Bill Clinton into their presidencies. Between his opponents and most of the media touting him as a racist bully, plus large swathes of Americans strongly opposed to him, his favorability ratings have also sunk to new lows in recent polls.
Both candidate have their issues, but recent polls are indicating a 7-point lead for Clinton. As such, the bookmakers are pricing Hillary Clinton as the betting favourite. You may have also noticed that the betting sites are still offering odds on other candidates winning the Presidency even though the primaries are all wrapped up.
This is because both parties could still possibly select a different candidate at the convention. There are still rumours that the Republicans could be hatching a plan to dump Trump at the convention. And as for Hillary, that whole security scandal could possibly lead to an indictment and her being replaced at the DNC convention. Both outcomes seem like long shots, but this has been a strange election season and these are strange candidates.
Major developments over the past month have changed the political election landscape considerably. Donald Trump is the presumed republican nominee now that all his competitors have officially dropped out of the race. Some online betting sites are still taking longshot wagers on someone else swooping in and taking the nomination at a contested convention, but that outcome is looking increasingly unlikely as time passes. Things on the democratic side have likewise tightened up.
Hillary Clinton now calls herself the presumed nominee even though Bernie Standers is still in the race. Clinton is fast approaching the 2, delegates needed for the nomination and she leads Sanders in the all-important super-delegate count. It should be no surprise, then, that the betting sites are pricing Clinton as a massive favourite over Sanders.
New York represented an important stepping stone for both front runners and their hopes to secure the Presidential nomination for each party.
Trump badly needed this run after losing in Wisconsin and failing to earn a single delegate in Colorado. Although the results have yet to be officially tallied, Trump has probably earned 89 or 90 of the delegates up for grabs.
John Kasich may have earned 3 delegates while Ted Cruz will leave with none. The most important result of the Trump victory in New York is that it puts him back on the mathematically-feasible path to achieve the 1, delegates necessary to earn the nomination and avoid a contested convention. Hillary Clinton won big in New York as well.
Early totals put her at winning This will result in Clinton taking home delegates and Sanders leaving with Perhaps even more importantly, New York provided Hillary with a moral victory. Prior to New York, Sanders had won seven straight primaries and put Clinton at risk of losing the nomination in a way reminiscent of what happened to her in when Barack Obama came out of nowhere to take the nomination out from under her feet.
The biggest news in our last update was the outcome of the Super Tuesday primaries earlier this month. Clinton and Trump gained the most delegates and began to solidify their statuses as front runners.
Cruz, Kasich and Sanders also made some noise, but Super Tuesday was mostly good for the afore-mentioned front runners. Clinton and Trump have each lengthened their lead in delegate counts, but the odds have changed a bit to show increasing resistance from Cruz and Kasich on the republican side and Sanders on the democrat side.
Donald Trump continues to win states in what has now become a 3-way republican race. He has expanded his lead over his rivals and is looking increasingly likely to end up with the most delegates. Despite his dominance, Trump is not a foregone conclusion. John Kasich is still in the race and acting as a spoiler. Kasich is winning just enough delegates that he may very well prevent anyone else from reaching the magic number of delegates necessary to earn the nomination.
If no candidate manages to reach delegates after all states have held their primaries, the GOP will head to a brokered convention where almost anything can happen. The GOP leaderships seems intent on pushing through an establishment republican and it would surprise no one if they try some last-minute shenanigans to deny Trump or Cruz the nomination so they can install someone they feel they can control. The GOP establishment types are playing a dangerous game because they risk alienating a large chunk of the base if they try to push someone through that is clearly unwanted.
If the GOP does indeed try to force things its own way, I can see a lot of republicans sitting out the race in disgust rather than vote for someone they never even saw on a primary ballot — thus leading to a Democrat victory in the general election.
Since the last update, the odds on Trump winning the Republican nomination have lengthened — which indicates the bookmakers see him as less of a lock than previously. Ted Cruz is still short on the delegate count, but the odds on him have shortened in a way that indicates the oddsmakers see him as more likely to win than the last time around although Cruz does remain a long shot. Hillary Clinton remains the front runner and has extended her lead just a bit since the last update, but Bernie Sanders has momentum on his side.
While Clinton did well through the southern states, Sanders is on a roll as the primary process moves out west. Sanders did especially well in the Pacific Northwest where he won landslide contests over Clinton. He does especially well in caucus states while Hillary seems to do better in straight-up primaries. However, Clinton has the backing of the establishment, still leads in the delegate count and remains the favourite to cinch the Democrat nomination.
The betting odds of Clinton winning have lengthened a bit since the last update, which indicates the oddsmakers see her as a little more likely to win the nomination now. The big questions facing Clinton are what happens if:.