Advanced statistics might be the only thing championing a cautious approach in the eye of bettors and oddsmakers alike getting Cameron crazy. The Blue Devils have only a 15 percent shot at reaching the Final Four, per kenpom, as opposed to 25 percent by the future odds.
Part of the statistical skepticism comes from the fact that the rest of the East is more rugged than many have given it credit. The Superbook offers 18 teams at odds of to-1 or less to win the national championship. The East is the only region with six of those teams, as No.
The Bears were as low as to-1 during the regular season after they became the top-ranked team in the country for the first time in program history in January. The Cavaliers and Gators also got that low in the future odds at different points in the season after they turned expected down seasons into memorable campaigns.
Florida led Kentucky for the SEC regular-season championship before dropping two of its final three games to fall to second. Virginia finished only fifth in the ACC, but that was good enough to tie Duke in the standings with an identical conference record. SMU also probably deserved to dip as low at to-1, but oddsmakers were behind on the American Athletic Conference regular season and tournament champions all season.
The Mustangs had the best record of any regularly lined team at That would present a scare for the millions banking on the surprisingly rare pairing between Villanova and Duke taking place at Madison Square Garden.
The two storied programs have played only 10 times ever, with the most recent coming in the NCAA Tournament when Villanova ousted Duke as 2. There are a lot of people hoping to see Krzyzewski and Villanova coach Jay Wright share a regional-site court once again.
If that happens, their brackets might come off as beautifully as a Picasso piece. If it fails, they might look as chaotic as a Pollock. Read below for picks and analysis on every East Region first round game, presented in rough order of confidence. Check back later for updated picks after the First Four games concluded. And while Providence was cruising through the Big East by the end of the year, USC could barely muster a positive point differential in the Pac East Tennessee State should be able to take advantage of that with a pair of transfers in Tevin Glass and Hanner Mosquera-Perea down low.
SMU checks both boxes, often playing four guards but still effectively limiting opponents' scoring chances. Buy signs are on the Mustangs until further notice. Station Casinos also reported lopsided action on the Blue Raiders. That is the most a lower-seeded team has been favored over a higher seed in the first round going back 12 years.
Since , a lower-seeded team has been favored over the higher seed 42 times. The favorite in those games went against the spread, according to sports analytics site, BetLabsSports. Stevens is known to make big bets. The Spartans made a surprise run to the Final Four before losing to Duke. You get the people with money who come out here and want to bet on it.
And then you have kids are out here for spring break and the tourists who haven't followed college basketball all season long. The first-round days accounted for 81 percent of the action, according to Kunovic. To help make this website better, to improve and personalize your experience and for advertising purposes, are you happy to accept cookies and other technologies?
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