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As impressive as LSU looked in a season-opening victory on a neutral field against Miami, miscues by the Hurricanes allowed the Tigers to allow graduate transfer Joe Burrow to merely manage the game, which he did to the tune of 5.
ASU did beat Michigan State last week, but it appears the Spartans might have been receiving some unwarranted hype heading into the year. MSU has some big names, but it barely beat Utah State at home in the opening week of the season. The Sun Devils deserve some credit for that win, but people need to pump the brakes a bit. The Aztecs then pulled out a win over Sacramento State that is best described as a dud.
Look for the Aztecs to get back on track against the Sun Devils, as their defense is good enough to give ASU a lot of problems. And playing in front of their home crowd, star RB Juwan Washington should be able to shake loose for a couple of big plays. And for good measure, the Aztecs have an incredible run defense this year. That has been a good omen for the team in the past, as SDSU is both straight up and against the spread coming off two consecutives games in which they allowed 75 or fewer rushing yards under Long.
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Password Must be at least 6 characters and contain a number and an uppercase and lowercase letter. Confirm Password Passwords must match. If you want to get crazy, the New York Jets over Miami offers nearly the same reward with significantly less risk. Believe it or not, Tennessee is a 3-point favorite at home vs. Seattle as of post time, and the point spread had recently moved from Based on the numbers, this game looks like a great opportunity to fade Seattle's "brand value" and make a contrarian pick with the odds in your favor.
This game is close to a toss-up, though our models are a bit more optimistic about Cleveland's chances to win than the Vegas line at post time, which was Browns by 1. Perhaps inspired by Indy's near-defeat of 7-point favorite Arizona last week, about 65 percent of pick 'em players are taking the Colts.
If you need to flip a coin on a game, you want to pick the side with the better payoff if you're right. That side is Cleveland this week. If you're looking to take a risk on an upset pick with major upside, your Week 3 play is Buffalo.
If their pick popularity stays so low, though, it makes Buffalo a very high leverage bet. Get it right, you'll gain on nearly all of your opponents.
Get it wrong, vice versa. Survivor pools, in which you only pick one team per week, demand much different strategy than pick 'em and confidence pools. Our NFL Survivor Picks product provides customized pick recommendations for all your survivor pools, based on the latest data like Vegas odds and public picking trends. In Week 3, here are some of the factors you should be considering about the most popular survivor picks of the week so far:.
Green Bay home vs. Green Bay's Week 1 and Week 2 results haven't been spectacular, and it feels like the public may be overestimating their chances here, even against the Bengals. However, the Packers also have modestly less future value than New England.
New England home vs. Houston is just a hair behind Green Bay in pick popularity at 28 percent, but at a point spread the Patriots are the most heavily favored team of Week 3 by a significant margin.