NFL - Sep 17
Analysis Interpretation of the news based on evidence, including data, as well as anticipating how events might unfold based on past events. Week 1 results were a bit mixed. As the season progresses, the underlying stats that fuel our weekly projections will get a greater sample size and, as a result, provide keener insight into weekly matchups. The process of creating proprietary point spreads is done by computer but there is an eye-test element involved.
When you see the potential for so much variance from the projection, a game is usually just not worth the money.
Cleveland Browns at New Orleans Saints Now they get to face a New Orleans defense that allowed a league-high 3. Only the Denver Broncos have been better in that span allowed points fewer than expected via the rush. The Chiefs tallied 2. Those two should be a handful for Pittsburgh, whose secondary was ranked as the 23rd best in the league by the game charters at Pro Football Focus. Indianapolis Colts at Washington Redskins More than half of those yards 58 were after contact, a troublesome statistic for the Colts, owners of the fourth-worst run defense in the NFL per PFF.
And when that happened to him on Sunday his passer rating dropped from The three games above represent my best plays of the week because my analysis shows the point spreads are the most divergent from what I expect to happen once the teams take the field.
Carolina Panthers at Atlanta Falcons Weekly NFL Odds located below as well as odds and lines explaintion for all of today's games. Get free expert NFL picks, tips and parlays for every game today. I will spare you the grand introduction and lead you right into the mean and potatoes of this article.
If you are a novice bettor who is just learning how to bet on the NFL, keep reading. If you understand the common concepts like money line, spread and totals wagering, you can skip down to the advanced wagering options by clicking here. If you want to know how to lay a few bets down on the futures market, I suggest you click here. As a concept, this is the simplest wager you can make on any game in any sport except soccer.
The money line betting option allows you to place a bet on the team you think is simply going to win the game. In the NFL, this bet includes overtime, but there have been a few instances where the game finishes tied at the end of OT and both sides get their money refunded. The money line betting odds correlate to the listed point spread.
If the game happens to end in a tie, bettors with money line tickets on either side will be refunded. The point spread is an indication of which team is the favorite and underdog heading into their matchup. A negative betting line such as Not only is the underdog expected to lose, but they are expected to lose by at least a field goal.
When looking over betting options for the NFL, you will come across lines that look like the following:. Depending on which side you select, your team must "cover the spread" in order for your wager to be graded a winner. The first being Chicago wins the game outright by any score. And the third being if the game finishes as a tie. If you decided to wager on the Vikings as One thing to keep in mind when betting on the point spread is that the point spread moves up or down depending on how much action a certain side is receiving.
If you are able to lock in your bet at If they won by two, they would have beat the closing spread of The NFL is played on a much smaller field and gives teams three downs to make a first down before electing to punt. When looking at betting an NFL total, there should be three things you take into consideration. The first being the weather. The second is both team's offensive and defensive numbers. And the last thing is the intangibles such as is it a short week, does a team have injury problems, travel delays, etc.
If you are to bet the "over" If there are 38 or fewer points scored, then those who bet on the "under" will cash their tickets. If totals are whole numbers such as 38 or 40 and the total happens to land exactly on the number, your bet, regardless whether it's an "over" or "under" bet, will be graded as a push and your money will be returned to you. It draws in the most money among the four major sports and there should be no surprises why.
Sportsbooks offer up an endless amount of wagering option to go along with the most common three wagering options; money line, spread, total. Here are some of the popular options. This works almost exactly like the game total, but revolves around one team instead of both. With the "team total" wagering option, you are essentially betting on whether you think Team X will score more or less than the line given out by the sportsbooks.
In this case you have two options. You can bet them to score 17 or more points or 16 or fewer. The decision is ultimately up to you.
This bet also includes overtime, unless otherwise stated in the betting rules provided by your sportsbook of choice. The "first half spread" betting option is a trickier form of betting the full-game point spread. This option takes into account the score at half time in order to determine a winner.