MLB Daily Lines - Monday, September 17

The time now is Over the last 10 years, underdogs in the month of April have gone 1,, What the oddsmakers are saying in this case is that the team that is less than. What I use is Excel, Espn. The answer of course lies on X and Z. Threads in This Forum

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Statistics just sell to a whole lot of people who think they may become winners following statistical models. They are giving them the necessary hope to keep them into the game, to keep them interested. This is indeed an explanation that perhaps I should write about in the future. Having said that, I must also mention that at times betting systems emerge, which rely exclusively on the statistical analysis of the games. What the heck, a part of these allegations must be true.

Nevertheless, statistics in sports betting are applied extensively when building or improving a particular betting system. Now, I am not talking about the input variables of a system, such as statistics used in tennis matches.

A system that makes 5 points out of a sample of bets may be satisfactory. Yet, I would rather have a system that makes points tested on a sample of 10, games!

And that is where mathematics and statistics make a huge difference in sports betting. Monday, September 17, Blog Write for Us! Hand-picking a horse racing NAP. Big things expected of this son of Frankel as he targets…. A Guide to Tennis Handicap Betting. How to Analyze Charts and Prepare for Race. Slippage in Sports Trading: What it means and why you should….

Mathematics in sports betting: Just a simple equation The truth is that for most people betting on sports is more like a hobby — as it should be. How do I win in sports betting? There is no doubt that, despite the game MLB schedule, division games have a lot more meaning to them. The teams within the division are rivals. So the games become a focal point and, under the right set of circumstances, small to medium home dog can deliver big profits! What the oddsmakers are saying in this case is that the team that is less than.

Sometimes you have to outline data as you see above to get a feel for what is going on, and there may be an intent from the odds makers here to entice the wrong wager. The MLB season is a long and winding road, and there are a lot of long road trips. It is always difficult to play on the road, especially as the season goes on, but remember: Do they respond in a big way, or are they too caught up in taking a breath, and seeing their families?

We have our answer, as these teams have come up big! At least part of this phenomenon probably has to do with the crowd. As you can see, the longer the road trip the bigger the ROI!

Once all the above data has been entered for each category, add up the points. The team with the most points is the favored team. I put the Giants as winners over Arizona by mistake. There are a few more steps to the formula which I will explain later, along with something I discovered when playing Monday morning QB. The next few steps will help narrow down which games to focus on if only betting on a few games. Will post more later Here is Part 2. See above for Part 1 Step 6 Create a team point list.

Just simply rank every team from highest to lowest. The top 5 teams will be of importance in the next step or two. Then, create a match up differential list by putting the team match ups with the biggest point differential first, second most second, and so on.

The top 3 match ups will be of importance in the next and final step. The following were from Tuesday's games. They actually lost anyways. I placed my moneyline bets on all 3. After playing Monday QB so to speak, I would have been 7 wins and 3 losses had I had used this strategy to zoom in on better teams with more favorable match ups.

My results since I started last Saturday would have been this Still way too early and too small of a sample size to tell if this will continue. Picks for Wednesday on all games: I want to sample more games this way first. Hope this wasn't too confusing and if you have questions please let me know. Last edited by SelanneMN; at