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It looks at data from past matches and estimates the probability of runs and wickets in each game situation, and works backwards to calculate the total runs or probability of winning in any situation.
Let V b , w be the expected additional runs for the rest of the innings when b legitimate balls have been bowled and w wickets have been lost, and let r b , w and p b , w be, respectively, the estimated expected runs and the probability of a wicket on the next ball in that situation. The batting second model is a bit more complicated, but uses essentially the same logic. If a batsman gets retired hurt, the model will not work well as it does not know the position in which the retired hurt batsman will come to bat again.
This happened in a match between England and New Zealand,  as injured Martin Guptill came to the crease again in the ninth position and gave a staggering performance which is unusual for a ninth position batsman and helped his team to win the match.
These reasons make this unpopular outside of Sky broadcasts. After those matches, Sky abandoned showing this statistic in future matches, and it was not featured during Cricket World Cup. From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia. This article is an orphan , as no other articles link to it.
Please introduce links to this page from related articles ; try the Find link tool for suggestions. Retrieved 21 May Cricket and the Wasp: Shameless self promotion Wonkish ". Fairfax New Zealand Limited. Winning and Score Predictor makes for an interesting watch on television". The Return of the Wasp". Retrieved from " https: They have several players in form, with 4 different players scoring 5 goals each in the qualifiers. Portugal and Spain have always had a long and heated rivalry, with 36 matches played between them.
Spain have historically had the upper hand though, with 18 wins, while Portugal have only managed 6 wins. However, their record is pretty even in recent years.
Spain have dropped some of the biggest names in world football in their final man squad, such is the talent at their disposal. Top players like Alvaro Morata and Cesc Fabregas, who could have walked into any other national side, could not find any place in the final squad.
Spain do not have any significant injury scares, although their squad selection has been widely criticized. Portugal have also surprisingly dropped experienced campaigner Luis Nani, along with Barcelona duo Andre Gomes and Nelson Semedo, much to the shock of thousands of fans.
Joao Cancelo and Ruben Neves are other high profile players who missed the flight to Russia. Even Eder, the player who scored the decisive goal at the Euro Final, was not selected. Spain still have an abundance of incredible talent at their disposal. While this may be his last international tournament, Andres Iniesta is still one of the best midfielders in the world and would be looking to be decisive again. Sergio Ramos and Gerard Pique form arguably the toughest center back pairing in the world, while Isco has elevated his game to another level in recent times.
While the goal scoring threat of Cristiano Ronaldo cannot be undermined, Spain simply has too much quality spread across the pitch. We expect both teams to score in a tight match but Spain to prevail eventually. Quick navigation Portugal vs.